US v Sweden thoughts, random stats, and pseudoanalysis


It wasn't a pretty game, by any stretch. The players ran hard, passes were completed, and the play was back and forth. We had a few shots, a couple of goals, and the US will put a check box in the win column. Both sides, though, lacked a key element in soccer entertainment - creativity to do the unexpected. It was remarkable to see both teams consistently attempt, and more often than not succeed, in doing exactly what you would expect them to do. While predictable execution may be a coach's wet dream, it makes for a bit of a sleeper for the viewing audience.

CLEARING THE PUCK

I don't pretend to be any sort of a hockey expert, but one thing I do know is that when a hockey team is pinned down in their own end, their defensive goal is to clear the puck - meaning, whack it down the ice as far as it will go. Then, I believe, you get to pin the team in their end, put a ton of pressure on them in tight space, hope that they turn it over or make some defensive lapse, and maybe put the biscuit past the 5 hole.

I think Bob Bradley is a hockey fan. He doesn't want his team to create goals. What a silly idea. Why not kick the ball as far down the field as you can, essentially giving away possession (Who wants possession anyway? The longer your team has the ball, the higher the chance is they'll lose it!), pressure them, and let their screw ups (hopefully there are some screw ups) create goals for you? Now that is GENIUS.

You'll forgive me, but there is a reason I'm not a hockey fan. It's boring. To me it is, anyway. I consider myself mostly realistic, and I realize many goals in high levels of soccer are scored directly as a result of a defensive screw up - what I call soccer turnovers. In fact, I've endorsed the idea of creating a team that is poised to both force turnovers and quickly strike once a team has coughed up a turnover. But here's where I draw the line - when you aren't under pressure, you're holding the ball in your defense, you have options to keep possession, and you choose to "clear the puck" instead.

I first started documenting US progression out of the back against South Africa. What I am charting here is how the US defense plays the ball forward when the US has first gained possession, not every single touch from a US defender.

  • In that game, we played long balls 46% of the time. Against Sweden, we cleared the puck 47% of the time, not counting the GK's long kicks to nowhere.
  • Our GK, Guzan, launched the ball forward 83% of the time, with the US retaining just 5% of those passes.
  • Against South Africa, we completed 9% of our long passes from the back. Against Sweden, we completed 26% of the same type of passes, a much better percentage.
There is one area we were significantly better. Against South Africa, I made this observation:
Our attacking progression is predictable. From the back, we play either route one soccer from our central defense, or our outside backs play to our central midfielders. Remarkable was the rarity with which our outside defenders and wide midfielders tried to work combinations.
Our progression was much more varied against Sweden, and both Donovan and Davis received a lot of balls out of the back. Both Corrales and Moore did a fine job of playing in the wide midfielders and making themselves options for combination play, too.

One last thought on defense before I move on. Goodsen was a surprising standout to me, physically more than held his own, and made a lot of important tackles and clearances to preserve a shutout. Sadly, the one area he most needs to improve is in his distribution. It's the story of US defenders I guess. But Clarence Goodsen deserves more looks.

6 IN ONE, EDU IN THE OTHER

Maurice Edu and Ricardo Clark played great games against Sweden. Perhaps they compliment each other so well because they are, um, the same freakin' player.

Passing percentages:
  • Percentage of passes completed: 85% Edu, 87% Clark
  • Percentage of passes played backwards: 12% Edu, 21% Clark
  • Percentage of passes played lateral: Edu 42%, Clark 28%
  • Percentage of passes played forward: Edu 39%, Clark 51%
  • Percentage of forward passes completed: Edu 62%, Clark 80%
OK, so they're not exactly the same player, but their games are eerily similar. These aren't the throwback days of Chris Armas when a completed forward pass from our defensive midfielder merited a standing ovation. Both Clark and Edu are willing and able to complete forward passes. They combined to get forward, they both played incisive through balls, and generally did a great job of running the US Team, involving their teammates all over the field.

They also both had 1 shot, 1 clearance, 2 fouls suffered, and both won 63% of the 50/50 balls they challenged. I'm telling you, it's freaky. By my count, though, Edu had 5 takeaways, while Clark only had 2. But, Clark had more touches overall, and his shot was on goal. Who was the better player yesterday? Who knows.

THE BREAKDOWN

So we have defenders who are doing a decent job of varying their play out of the back, when they're not clearing the puck. In the midfield, Clark and Edu are both playing solid games, and Donovan is playing well. Davis is finding his spots and keeping the ball moving. Everything is looking rosy, right?

Eh, no.

We won 2-0, and Bob can pat himself on the back - if the only thing that mattered was the scoreboard.

It's not. The US front line is broken, and Bob isn't adjusting to fix it. The lack of ideas here is frustrating. Bob, maybe we don't play two forwards, because it is painfully obvious to all who love and watch this team that we don't have two decent forwards to play together.

The US team breaks down because our forwards, like Taylor Twellman, can do one thing - score. I can hear moronic Revolution fans snickering from across the country. Here's the thing, if another player lays the ball on a silver platter, Twellman will occasionally help himself to the gravy. Sadly, on the US team, as often as not, he tries to eat that gravy with a fork, and we moan in agony as a wide open header goes just over the crossbar. He doesn't help create opportunities, gets knocked around like a pinball, loses possession, and can't find his teammates in combination play.

Noonan, well, he tries. In fact, his pass to Altidore set up Donovan's PK, so you know what? STANDING OVATION!

In US Soccer, it's often one step forward, another step back.

2 comments:

Stan said...

To be fair to Bradley, I don't think it's realistic that we're gonna hang an 18 year old kid out there alone to be the one forward. I know what we're doing isn't really working, but the world cup is not next month, and there's no good reason we have to hand all that on Jozy now.

Nutmeg said...

True - I think you can give him short runouts in the spot, though. After the U20s, it is a role he should at least be familiar with.

But there is more than Jozy to think about. The entire team would have to get used to playing with a single forward, and in my preferred lineup, an attacking midfielder in front of the two central midfielders, with the AMid being one of Adu, Dempsey, or Donovan.

This is a team transition as much as it a request of a single player.